What is the Bradley effect in politics?
The Bradley effect posits that the inaccurate polls were skewed by the phenomenon of social desirability bias. Specifically, some voters give inaccurate polling responses for fear that, by stating their true preference, they will open themselves to criticism of racial motivation.
What is the Bradley effect quizlet?
Bradley effect. A discrepancy in polls and actual voting that overestimates the white vote for black candidates because some white voters might falsely report that they intend to vote for an African American candidate. Named after the 1982 California gubernatorial candidate Tom Bradley.
How do polls affect presidential elections?
How do polls affect presidential elections? Polls help voters research information about each of the candidates. Polls tell voters the issues that candidates support. Polls identify the top candidates and the media interview those candidates.
Which issue is considered a valence issue?
A valence issue is an issue where there is a broad amount of consensus among voters. As valence issues are representative of a goal or quality, voters use valence issues to evaluate a political party's effectiveness in producing this particular goal or quality.
What is margin of error in government?
November 2021. The margin of error is a statistic expressing the amount of random sampling error in the results of a survey. The larger the margin of error, the less confidence one should have that a poll result would reflect the result of a census of the entire population.
What is Downs paradox?
The paradox of voting, also called Downs' paradox, is that for a rational, self-interested voter, the costs of voting will normally exceed the expected benefits.
Why is it called a straw poll?
Sometimes polls conducted without ordinary voting controls in place (i.e., on an honor system, such as in online polls) are also called "straw polls". The idiom may allude to a straw (thin plant stalk) held up to see in what direction the wind blows, in this case, the wind of group opinion.